MARKET REVIEW: IHSG Ditutup Melemah Tipis

Melalui Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Embun Pagi (25 Januari 2023), analis Mirae Sekuritas, Handiman Soetoyo, menerangkan IHSG ditutup melemah tipis pada Selasa, didorong oleh saham-saham energi dan keuangan seperti BYAN, ADRO, BBCA, dan BBRI. Investor asing melakukan pembelian bersih Rp156 miliar, terutama di GOTO, MDKA, dan MEDC.

Bursa AS berakhir mixed, investor mencerna laporan kinerja perusahaan dan data ekonomi. PMI Manufaktur dan Jasa S&P Global AS membaik pada Januari dibandingkan Desember, tetapi masih dalam zona kontraksi, menunjukkan aktivitas ekonomi masih terus melambat.

Harga minyak mentah WTI AS turun 1,8% menjadi USD80,2/barel di tengah kekhawatiran baru atas prospek ekonomi global. Rencana pemerintah negara bagian New South Wales (NSW) Australia yang mewajibkan penambang batu bara mencadangkan hingga 10% dari produksi ke pasar domestik diperkirakan akan menciptakan gangguan jangka pendek terhadap pasokan batu bara global.

|Baca juga: IHSG Diprediksi Bergerak Mixed, Ajaib Rekomendasikan LPPF, EXCL, BRPT

Sebagai catatan, NSW mengekspor 175 juta ton dari 200 juta ton batubara yang diproduksi dalam setahun. Sementara itu, harga gandum terus menurun ke level terendah sejak September 2021 di tengah cuaca yang mendukung dan penanaman kembali secara besar-besaran di AS. Kami mengharapkan dampak positif pada saham konsumen.

IMF tengah mempertimbangkan untuk merevisi perkiraan pertumbuhan ekonomi global di tengah pembukaan kembali China. Kami percaya bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi global yang lebih tinggi akan berdampak positif pada perekonomian Indonesia, mulai dari perdagangan, manufaktur, hingga pariwisata.

Market Indicator
JCI: 6,860.85 (-0.20%)
EIDO: 23.10 (-0.69%)
DJIA: 33,733.96 (+0.31%)
FTSE100: 7,757.36 (-0.35%)
USD/IDR: 14,888 (-1.24%)
10yr GB yield: 6.62 (-0.6bps)
Oil Price: 80.13 (-1.83%)
Foreign net purchase: IDR156.7bn.

Foreign net purchase on single stocks (HOTS screen #0141)
TOP BUY: GOTO, MDKA, MEDC, BRMS, UNVR
TOP SELL: BUMI, ACES, BBKP, BNBR, PNLF.

Most actively traded stocks (HOTS screen #0102)
GOTO, BBRI, BRMS, BBCA, BOGA

Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Equity Movers

Actual Forecast Previous

USD Manufacturing PMI (Jan) P 46.8 46.0 46.2
USD S&P Global Composite PMI (Jan) P 46.6 45.0
UK Composite PMI   47.8 49.3 49.0
UK Manufacturing PMI   46.7 45.4 45.3
UK Services PMI   48.0 49.6 49.9
P= Preliminary Release

*MDKA +1.85%, Corporate Secretary of PT Merdeka Copper & Gold Tbk Adi Adriansyah Sjoekri said based on the approval of the EGMS to buy back shares that have been issued and listed on the IDX as much as 0.5 percent worth IDR600 billion.

*BRMS +6.98%, Director of PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk Herwin Hidayat said that at the end of last year he started operating a second gold factory with a utilization of 200 tons of ore up to 500 tons of ore per day and targeted to increase to a level of 1000 tons of ore per day in February-March and by From April to June 2023, it is hoped that the capacity of the second factory will increase to a level of 2,000 tons of ore per day.

*GGRM +9.78%, PT Gudang Garam Tbk will start the construction of the Kediri-Tulungagung Toll Road with an investment value of IDR 10.25 trillion in the second quarter of 2023.

*SMGR +0.70%, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is projected to be able to reap profits of up to IDR3.4 trillion or grow 21.8 percent in 2023 in line with the National Capital development project and export volumes which are expected to increase.

*PEVE +34.22%, PT Penta Valent Tbk officially takes the floor on the Indonesia Stock Exchange at a price of IDR 149 per share and offers 368 million shares or a maximum of 20.67 percent of the issued and fully paid capital in the company after the IPO with a nominal value of IDR 20.

*PTBA -0.84%, *ITMG -2.15%, *INDY -1.52%, *ADRO -1.23%, The fall in contract coal prices in February 2023 USD290 around -4.43%.

Technical Insight

– IHSG Daily, 6,860.85 (-0.20%), consolidation, daily trading range 6,825 – 6,907, critical level di 6,730. Indikator MFI optimized relatif flat, indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R sudah berada masih bergerak turun. Indeks ini berada di bawah center line pada Bollinger Bands Optimized. Pada periode weekly indikator MFI optimized, indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized secara umum bergerak masih bergerak naik.

– AKRA Daily, 1,350 (+1.89%), sell on strength, TP 1,400, daily trading range 1,320 – 1,365, cut loss level di 1,270. Indikator MFI optimized, indikator RSI optimized dan W%R optimized sudah berada di overbought area. Harga saat ini di center line pada Bollinger Bands Optimized.

– TLKM Daily, 3,850 (-0.52%), buy on weakness, TP 3,920, daily trading range 3,800 – 3,900, cut loss level di 3,750. Indikator MFI optimized, indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized sudah berada di overosold area. Harga di atas center line pada Bollinger Bands Optimized.

– RALS Daily, 675 (+1.50%), sell on strength, TP 695, daily trading range 660 – 690, cut loss level di 630. Indikator MFI optimized masih cenderung turun, namun indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized masih cenderung bergerak naik. Harga di atas normal upper band pada Bollinger Bands Optimized.